How to win a nuclear war



Many say that nuclear war cannot be won, however this is not the case, it just depends on exactly what you consider winning to mean.

Let’s consider a simple model of two countries A and B, with three different target sets: leadership, nuclear weapons, and population.

In the following three scenarios only the initial attack and the immediate response will be considered for simplicity, in reality there may be multiple waves of strikes from either side.

let’s first consider country A attacking the population of country B.

This would leave country B with its weapons intact to launch a full-scale retaliation against the population, leadership, and weapons of country A.

This exchange would result in vast numbers of people dead for no gain whatsoever, therefore, this is something that no sane leader would ever consider ordering.

Secondly let’s consider country A launching a decapitation strike against country B.

The goal is to prevent the leadership of country B from being able to use their nuclear weapons without needing to target the weapons themselves.

However, this is easier said than done as many countries have put systems in place specifically to prevent this from happening, such as building underground command bunkers and mobile command posts.

If the attack fails to destroy its targets, then country B would be able to launch a retaliation against the leadership and weapons of country A, therefore, this is an extremely risky approach which is unlikely to pay off.

Thirdly let’s consider country A launching a disarming strike against country B, the goal is to prevent country B from being capable of launching a retaliatory strike and therefore forcing its surrender on the attackers’ terms.

However, if the initial strike does not successfully destroy all of its targets, then country B will be able to retaliate against the nuclear forces and leadership of country A.

These were simple illustrations of how nuclear war could theoretically be fought however the best option is to pursue peaceful coexistence with any adversary countries if at all possible.

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