How the Russia Ukraine war will end
Many have speculated scenarios for the Russian war against Ukraine to end, including by a negotiated ceasefire. Some in the west, for example Donald Trump, intend to threaten to cut off aid to Ukraine in order to force Ukraine to negotiate with Russia. Throughout the war, Ukraine has recaptured much of the territory that Russia initially seized. However, Russia has made clear that any negotiations would depend on Ukraine withdrawing from all illegally annexed oblasts, including territory that Ukraine liberated from Russian occupation. Another Russian condition for negotiations is that Ukraine abandon any desire to join the NATO alliance and instead become a neutral and demilitarised state. Although it is highly unlikely that Ukraine would agree to this, if hypothetically they did agree, it would only pause the war. Allowing Russia time to rebuild its military forces and launch another invasion in a few years’ time. If the West allows Russia to win and fully occupy Ukraine...